Alabama hopes to lock up the SEC Championship and a playoff berth with a win over Missouri this Saturday.
The Missouri Tigers are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS over their last six games against SEC opponents. They face one of the toughest SEC tests of all this Saturday going up against the Alabama Crimson Tide.
Missouri is a 14.5-point underdog at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com . Missouri's strong ATS play and this many points in a championship game at a neutral location make the Tigers worth consideration as a strong underdog.
OddsShark Computer Prediction : Alabama 29, Missouri 21.8
It is easy to overlook the SEC East with South Carolina and Florida having down years and the SEC West dominating the headlines with so many excellent teams. But the Missouri Tigers quietly put together a very strong campaign in 2014. Missouri finished the season with a 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS record, ending on a 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS run that included solid road upsets at Texas A&M and Tennessee.
If not for an inexplicable 31-27 home loss to Indiana this year, the Tigers would be coming into this game right in the thick of the college football playoff race. The Tigers are 20-6 ATS over their last 26 games.
Alabama and Missouri kick off at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday at the Georgia Dome.
The Crimson Tide proved once again last week that they can win in a variety of ways. On a day that the team's normally elite defense allowed 44 points to Auburn, the offense came up big with 55 points to win and pick up the cover as 9.5-point favorites.
Alabama will try to find this kind of offense away from home this week, where the Crimson Tide average 23.6 points per game compared to the 46 per game they average at home. The Crimson Tide are 3-10-1 ATS over their last 14 games, according to the OddsShark College Football Database .
Trends in this game point to a low-scoring affair. The UNDER is 5-2 over Alabama's last seven conference games and 7-3 over Missouri's last 10 games overall.
Alabama's big play ability and experience make the Crimson Tide a prohibitive favorite in this matchup. But couple Missouri's great ATS record with Alabama's poor one and the level that the Tigers are playing at as of late, and Missouri appears to be a solid play at +14.5.
Source SBNation.com - All Posts http://ift.tt/120a29f
No comments:
Post a Comment